The Golden Slipper 2023

Distance: 1200m | Conditions: Set Weights | Rail Position: True | Track Condition: Good 4

The Golden Slipper. The richest 2yo race anywhere in the world. Weather will be warm and the track should be perfect on the day. Let’s try and find the winner.

WISHTIPS

Speed Map

Plenty of speed with Red Resistance, Facile, Exploring and Steel City all capable of leading. From there, there will be a tactical battle to get in behind them. Cylinder, Learning to Fly, King’s Gambit, Barber and Platinum Jubilee all look likely to get decent runs. Don’t see Little Brose and Don Corleone being too quick so somewhere worse than midfield. Expect Shinzo, Empire of Japan and Lazzago to round them up.

Key Runners

1.jockey silks Little Brose

Taking nothing away from the Blue Diamond winner but sheesh there were some hard luck stories behind him. M Dee sticks who is riding the lights out and brings the best peak figure to this race. Looks like another tricky map for him but we know the turn of foot he has. Can win, but zero value in his price.

2.jockey silks Barber

The Blue Diamond favourite was a little disappointing in the race. Was crowded down the straight but thought he could’ve gone better. The likely fast tempo may not suit but clearly is capable of putting in a much better run. Godolphin, so watch the market late. Can win.

3. jockey silksArkansaw Kid

Has had two very forgivable runs, and finished 3rd in the Blue Diamond. Mcneil sticking a tick. Brings the third best career peak figure as well. Looks big overs to run well and couldn’t dissuade = you from a place bet.


4. jockey silksDon Corleone

We were with him for the Blue Diamond and couldn’t have gone better to just miss. Was the clear fastest sectionals home in the race as well weaving through them. Will need to produce a similar run here to win. Hoof filler as well a concern? Looks fairly priced and a good winning chance but no bet.

5. jockey silksCylinder

The favourite with McDonald allowed to ride as well. Last two wins have been good, albeit by less than a length on both, but they were also off slow tempos. With more pressure in the race, how will he go? Trust Jmac to find the right spot as well but barrier 3 could be tricky. Hard to tip against in any matter, but at $4, presented less than zero value to bet.

6. jockey silksRed Resistance

Gave Cylinder a great race last start but just fell short. Started fave over him, and now we get $12. Barrier not ideal, but just means the path is clear for Prebble in terms of tactics. I can’t see him running a bad race based on his previous runs, and could easily skip away and burn them off. Great winning chance at good each way odds.

7. jockey silksShinzo

Very good win last start, getting wide and rounding them all up late. Wasn’t a big figure though compared to some of the ones we see in this field, and loses McDonald for this. Flown in Moore from the UK to ride instead which isn’t a huge tick for me. Barrier 1 is not ideal either with not much early speed in him. Happy to risk.

8. jockey silksKings Gambit

Last Spring seems a while ago winning by 5 lengths. Since then though, started $1.20 against Red Resistance and lost, and has started $2.40 against Cylinder and lost. The market clearly has a good opinion of this horse, and now we get $9 without it really ever putting in terrible runs. Good ride needed from Zahra early to find a position but with clear room, can get the back of the speed and roar home. Can’t see $9 being there by the jump and looks a clear top winning chance.

9. jockey silksEmpire of Japan

Just a bit one paced and maps well back. Can’t see it.

10. jockey silksLearning to Fly

Undefeated. Mighty tough horse who gets stronger the closer they get to the post. Good barrier, has good wins over many in this field and hard to see how she won’t be right in this again. Market watch late, but a very good winning chance.

11. jockey silksPlatinum Jubilee

Blinkers on, Clark sticks, we know what that means. Likely to find a good spot forward and try to run them into the ground once again. Do question the 1200m though. Has sectionally performed poorly in her last two runs in the late stages with even tempos. Trust the trainers to have her at peak fitness but looks a slight risk at the current price.

12. jockey silksBlanc De Blanc

Finished nearly 3L off Steely City last start which is about where she probably is talent wise. Loses Jmac as well. Hard to see her in the finish.

13. jockey silksExploring

Went flat out in the Blue Diamond and just ran out of puff late. Can run better with a sit here but doesn’t look a winning chance against a better field here.

14. jockey silksLazzago

Decent win last start over a few here, including Skirt the Law who was the short favourite. Slow tempo that day which she probably won’t get here. Will need plenty of luck to be in the finish.


15. jockey silksSteel City

Finally a winner last start with Baylis leading all the way, who sticks here. Barrier 15 is a tough one, but likely to go forward anyway so just hope there isn’t a massive speed battle or trouble to get across. Looks like a good winning hope but not much reward in the price. Market watch late.


16. jockey silksFacile

Only runner in the field who hasn’t won a race. Went H2H with Learning to Fly for 800m last start, and was entitled to win but just didn’t get there. Wide draw but will go forward so no issue there. Can run really well at good odds.

WISHTIPS

Betting Strategy

It’s obvious to everyone how wide open this race is. Happy to stick with Red Resistance who will be on speed and will be hard to crack at each way odds.

2 units Red Resistance Each way at $10+