The Golden Slipper 2024

Distance: 1200m | Conditions: Set Weights | Rail Position: True | Track Condition: Soft 5

The Golden Slipper. It’s the richest two-year-old race in the world and we’ve got one of the more anticipated editions in line this weekend! The chat for weeks now is that it’s a two-horse race, and one for the ages. Storm Boy vs Switzerland. It’s also Waterhouse-Bott v Waller, Moore v McDonald. The best of the best.  But is it as simple as that, or is there one from the clouds who can trump them both?

WISHTIPS

Speed Map

If there’s anything you can lock in here, it’s that this speed is going to be helter-skelter with the substantial Waterhouse-Bott representation in this year’s Slipper. Although typically slow away, Storm Boy will muster quickly from 2 and take up the running, with Lady of Camelot outside of him and Straight Charge coming across from deeper. Shangri La Express and Fully Lit won’t be far away and with that Switzerland maps to get the gun run with Coleman thereabouts. Hayasugi should find herself out the back in company with Bodyguard and a few others forced back.

WISHTIPS

Key Runners

1.jockey silks Storm Boy (2)

He’s been the talk of the town since he stepped onto a racetrack, and since his dominant Magic Millions win he has floated around even money in Futures Markets. It’s clear this bloke is pretty special, hence Coolmore’s decision to buy him for a reported $50m and he now has the chance to pay some of that back. Although his first-up run in the Skyline was never in doubt, it didn’t blow me away. Will improve off it though and with his physical maturity, he’s the one to beat and may just destroy them.

Price: $2.35

2.jockey silks Fully Lit (1)

Second of the Waterhouse-Bott runners who has shown glimpses of class with two wins from three starts. Started $1.65 favourite in a pretty average Black Opal field last start, and was comfortably beaten by Holmes A Court. He clearly didn’t absorb the pressure up front well, but even with a change of tactics here it’s hard seeing him match it with this lot. 

Price: $27

3. jockey silks Shangri La Express (3)

Golden Gift winner who consequently was popular in early market betting for the Slipper. Has since finished second and third in the Pierro Plate and Todman respectively, running into Switzerland on both occasions. Although comfortably accounted for in the Todman last start, he continued to box on. Hard to see him turning the tables for this but he’s still overs.

Price: $41


4. jockey silks Rue De Royale (14)

Rank outsider, but he’s not a bad horse this bloke. Was never a chance in the Blue Diamond but whacked away with real intent. Drops in trip, rise in class and he’ll be right out the back again spotting them a long way. On that, I can’t have him.

Price: $201

5. jockey silks Traffic Warden (6)

Colt by Street Boss who’s last start win in the VRC Sire’s Produce was arrogant. In saying that, he doesn’t bring the traditional Slipper profile and while dropping back from 1400m to a high pressure 1200m isn’t a bad setup, only just beating Rue De Royale suggests he’s got a few lengths to make up to win this. Williams will have some options from the draw and while I think he can run well, the price is right.

Price: $34

6. jockey silks Straight Charge (9)

Nice colt who put his best foot forward in the Todman, but was comfortably accounted for by Switzerland. Yes, Switzerland had it much easier but keep mind that Straight Charge won’t have it easy here either. He’s likely to get caught in that speed battle and coming from 9 may find himself too deep. I can’t see him seeing it out as strong as some of the others. Should be $20+.

Price: $13

7. jockey silks Switzerland (7)

Donning the same colours as last year’s champion in Shinzo, also sired by Snitzel, Switzerland presents Chris Waller the chance to go back-to-back – a feat that hasn’t been done since Gai in 2012-13.  Switzerland hasn’t placed a wrong foot, winning all three of his starts to date quite comfortably. His last start came in the Todman which we’ve seen is the key form race, and it was a strong field at that. He’s drawn perfectly, J-Mac steers and Waller’s sense of timing with these horses is impeccable. Will grow another leg with the cut out of the ground and be right in the finish.

Price: $4.6

8. jockey silksBodyguard (10)

Won the Blue Diamond prelude in good time, then went into the Blue Diamond favourite but was scratched on vets advice. Came back in the Todman last start and was ridden cold but I thought he was really impressive getting home and Paul Snowden has come out during the week saying he’s come on since that. The Snowden’s prepare juveniles as good as anyone and I think this bloke is well overs. He’s a must for exotics.

Price: $35

9. jockey silks Dublin Down (13)

Arrives here on the quick back-up after a last start win in the Pago Pago. Was a good win, but it doesn’t seem that’ll be the form race to stack up. He’s had early market support ($61-$31) but I’m happy to be proven wrong. Will roll forward from the sticky gate, and I think will be found wanting pretty early.

Price: $31

10. jockey silks Coleman (4)

The son of Pierata kicked off his career with a bang winning his first two starts, both black type races. Subsequently went into the Blue Diamond favourite and did not finish like we know he can. He was better in the Pago Pago last start against the race shape but did nothing to convince me he can win this. I’m happy to leave him out.

Price: $27

11. jockey silks Holmes A Court (8)

If Fully Lit is $27, how is this bloke $80? Made a mess of Fully Lit in the Black Opal and will improve off that too. It’s doesn’t appear the form race for this year’s Slipper but he’s drawn well and is from an astute stable. Overs.

Price: $101

12. jockey silks Prost (11)

If you are looking for one at a price, perhaps this son of Snitzel is one to consider? Sat back off a slow speed in the Skyline and was asked to chase down Storm Boy which he did in good time, to finish within 1.5L. Ticks all the boxes, and will need some luck to find cover but with improvement and off a quick speed, he’ll be one to watch late… and wouldn’t it be a sweet win for Hippo.

Price: $41

13. jockey silks Hayasugi (16)

Connections of Hayasugi must be flat with the racing God’s after drawing that gate. She just knows how to win. Arguably the most underrated two-year-old in the country, bringing some of the best form into this including a run on win in the Blue Diamond last start where the track pattern was against her. She’ll win plenty more races, but will be near last as they head for home here and be spotting the likes of Storm Boy way too far. Will be flashing home late.

Price: $18

14. jockey silks Lady Of Camelot (5)

One who we know can absorb pressure is Lady Of Camelot. Was pestered out in front in the Blue Diamond and stuck it out for second. She’ll be given every chance from the draw under Blake Shinn and will no doubt look the winner at some stage. If there’s one to look for outside the obvious two, I think she could be the one. Big watch.

Price: $6


15. jockey silks Manaal (17)

Another one who’s fate has probably been sealed by the draw. Nice run on effort in the Widden despite being no match for Lady Of Camelot. Will win races, but not this one.

Price: $61


16. jockey silks Eneeza (15)

Nice filly for Peter Moody and Kathy Coleman who is showing plenty of promise. Finished fourth in the Blue Diamond where she was given every chance but just lacked that bit of extra zip required. Barrier has done her no favours and for that I can’t have her.

Price: $15

WISHTIPS

Betting Selections + Strategy

There’s talk he’s a generational horse, and all things equal Storm Boy trounces these, but Switzerland looks his biggest threat. I see Bodyguard and Prost as the best of the rest.

1.jockey silks Storm Boy

7. jockey silks Switzerland

8. jockey silksBodyguard

12. jockey silks Prost

 

2 units WIN on Storm Boy

1 unit EW on Bodyguard