The George Main
While The Shorts gets plenty of hype with the return of our best sprinters, we have a seriously good Group 1 to look at with the running of the George Main at Randwick. Track conditions will be interesting because there’s plenty of rain around but it will be warm on the day. Let’s try and find the winner.
Speed Map
Expect a decent tempo here with Zaaki to lead them. Profondo is a huge question mark. You’d love to see it go forward and not take a sit for once. Montefilia, Anamoe and Converge will all be midfield with Duais, and Fangirl with Icebath should be the ones swooping from the back.
Key Runners
1:
Good win last start, and responded late when Nimalee looked to threaten running over the top. We are getting a similar leading setup, on conditions where Zaaki has no issues, with a better price. Tougher race, but has the talent to control and win. A good bet to have.
2:
The QLD Form is working a treat in Melbourne at the moment, so that could be a tick here, but it looks a pretty difficult task.
3:
Was a very good return in the Winx Stakes. This is the price range that makes it tricky to pile into Anamoe, especially with speed all around him. Will be a long way off Zaaki. Can run him down but $2 is short to be confident. Consider backing if we get a market drift to above $3.
4:
Barrier 10 not ideal for Tim Clark and he’ll need to find a spot early. Wasn’t good last start but didn’t handle the track. Has beaten Anamoe and the stable will have him wound up. Place chance.
5:
Had every chance to do better last start. Would love to see Avdulla try and lead and control just to see what he can do like we saw in the Spring Champion. Anything over $15 seems a pretty big price. Good place chance.
6:
Just another tuneup run here before the Cups in October. Can win, but when the grand final target races are so far away, happy to risk.
7:
Started $6 in the Queen Elizabeth in Autumn against a few of these, albeit on a Heavy 10. 1600m might be a bit sharp for her first up here but has enough talent to win. Will risk, but keep a close eye on.
8:
Unlikely to run, being nommed also at Newcastle on Friday. The more rain, the better for Icebath. Hard to pile in with confidence due to the racing pattern. Consider if the track gets to a heavy (unlikely), otherwise happy to risk.
9:
Chased hard last start and rattled home in good sectionals but never looked like winning. Hard to back with a similar setup here and is going to be a long way off Zaaki coming into the straight. Winning chance if they go too hard in front but happy to risk.
10:
Took a while to wind up in the straight last start and when she did, had little room to move. Likely to get clear air here on speed so no excuses this time. Winning chance, but happy to risk.
Betting Strategy
What a race. There are no prizes for having this between the two at the top of the market but considering that Zaaki is likely to control this from start to finish with little pressure and have a way better position in run compared to Anamoe, the odds look more appealing on Zaaki. Happy to be with him.
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