Epsom Handicap 2023

Distance: 1600m | Conditions: Handicap | Rail Position: True | Track Condition: Good 4

We’ve got a highly competitive field here for the Group 1 Epsom Handicap, and it’s a wide open affair. It’s arguably weaker than other editions we’ve seen, and the punters don’t know which way to look in early betting! Hopefully we can help find you a winner!


Speed Map

She’s a tricky speedmap to try workout. Rediener looks to be the likely leader from the inside draw, while Converge can be more positive than we’ve seen recently. The likes of Nugget and Pounding have a decision to make, with plenty of those through the middle of the draw likely to take a more conservative approach. There’ll be a big wave at the back hoping there’s some pressure up top, to swoop late, that being the likes of Democracy Manifest, My Oberon, Waterford and Madame Pommery.

Key Runners

1: jockey silksMy Oberon (18)

The Annabel Neesham flyer who’s delivered two nice runs since being back. Was excellent in the 7 Stakes behind Think It Over last time out, would be preferred here on softer ground.   

2: jockey silksThe Inevitable (8)

All Star Mile placegetter who continues to fly the flag for Tassie. Flew home in the Theo Marks most recently in ripping time, only to miss Golden Mile by a nose. In form, maps similarly for this, and should be there in the finish.

4: jockey silksConverge (9)

Is in better form than this time last year, and while he was left a little flat footed first-up, he can make a big step up here. Should get the right run in transit, is better for the run and goes well over the mile. Ticks enough boxes to entertain.

5: jockey silksGolden Mile (21)

It all his way third-up in the Theo Marks and fell in. Won’t be the same this time round, but has the best in the business aboard so can’t completely dismiss.

7: jockey silksKirwan’s Lane (11)

On the seven day backup after running in the Shannon Stakes last Saturday. Grew into the race and did his best work late suggesting he’s right for this. Goes well over the Randwick mile, not the worst here. 

8: jockey silksHope In Your Heart (10)

First-up run was exceptional. Was back on the fence but once she found the gap, she got through the line really well. Is ready for 1600m, drawn well and should be right there in the finish. 

10: jockey silksKovalica (7)

Big fan of this bloke. Didn’t pick up in the Theo Marks but will be better for the run. Probably needs one more to really show us what he’s capable of but he’s got plenty of ability so a win wouldn’t shock.

11: jockey silksNugget (19)

Good horse on his day, and while he had every chance in the Theo Marks he did nothing. Back down in the weights, and Oliver goes aboard so looking for a better showing. Draw doesn’t help.

12: jockey silksPounding (13)

Been brought here instead of heading to the Toorak, after a really strong showing in the Feehan. Carries WFA form into this and is well weighted, plenty of ticks.

16: jockey silksDemocracy Manifest (1)

Got it all his way in Newcastle last start but boy did he make the most of it. Won’t have to do any work again from the gate and has a lethal turn of foot. If there’s enough speed he’ll be savaging the line late.

17: jockey silksRediener (2)

Strong winner in the Bill Ritchie last start. Progressive type who drops 3kg here and even if he doesn’t lead, he’ll be able sit nice and close to the speed in a race that looks to lack tempo. Three of the last four Epsom winners have come out of the Bill Ritchie, can he add another to the list?

19: jockey silksWaterford (2o)

Had a big task to come from the back last week, and won’t get it any easier for this. Talented but happy to leave him out here.


Betting Strategy

It’s a tough betting race but Rediener looks a nice bet at the price. Keep your eye on Kovalica too who can also make an impact. I think it’ll be another Group 1 for Waller.

2 units on Redeiner

1 unit each way on Kovalica.

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