The Tattersal’s Tiara

Distance: 1400m | Conditions: Fillies and Mares WFA | Rail Position: 6m | Track Condition: Good 4

It’s the last Group 1 of the Queensland Winter Racing Carnival, and we’ve got a near capacity field for the 33rd running of the Tattersal’s Tiara for fillies and mares over 1400m at Eagle Farm on Saturday. It shapes as a really nice betting race and one with plenty of bolters at value, so let’s sink our teeth in and find the winner!

WISHTIPS

Speed Map

There’s not a great deal of genuine tempo in the race, but being a stacked Group 1, there will be plenty putting their hand up to take up the running. Electric Girl has been drawn perfectly to effect, with Lady of Honour joining for company. These two look the likely leaders with Mirra Vision looking to kick up from the wide draw. All these swoopers will be relying on a good steer or luck when straightening, and if the pace is right I think we can expect a blanket finish. 

WISHTIPS

Key Runners

1.jockey silksElectric Girl (4)

Resumes for this. Won the Millie Fox, before a handy third in the Canterbury Stakes and was ultimately outclassed in the George Ryder and All Aged. Back against the girls here, trialed nicely and at a price with an inform jock, I think she could be hard to catch here.

2.jockey silksKiku (17)

Mare not short of ability, and showed it in her last start where she just missed to Foxy Frida over 1600m. I think she’s probably better suited over the mile, and has a sticky barrier to contend with but isn’t the worst.

3.jockey silks Palaisipan (16)

Ran dead last in the Kingsford-Smith, before hitting the line solidly for fourth in the Straddy last start thanks to a peach from Kyle Wilson-Taylor. Did no work in the run and will have her work cut out from the draw. Easier race but still can’t see her having the same impact here.

4.jockey silksFoxy Frida (20)

This mare is airborne. She hasn’t figured outside the quinella this campaign, which has included a Group 3 win and a second in the Group 2 Queen of the South Stakes. The drop back to 1600m is a concern and the barrier is a shocker. Need a genuine tempo to be considered but there’s too many queries for me.

5. jockey silksChain of Lightning (9)

Was taken back from the gate in the Kingsford Smith but is better drawn here and has shown he’s up to this level, losing the CF Orr only to a protest. Will be ridden aggressively here and can figure in the finish.

6. jockey silksRoots (10)

Really nice run in the Dane Ripper fresh. Will be better for the run and gets the extra distance here which should benefit. Profiles really nicely and is one of the better rough chances. Each-way hope.

8.jockey silks Chaillot (11)

Worked home nicely in the Kingsford-Smith but was comfortably held by Think About It. Has been kept fresh for this, has a handy record over the distance and will appreciate the drop back to mares grade. Can definitely make her presence felt if the backmarkers are brought into it.

9. jockey silksLady of Honour (3)

Has had plenty of early market support. On the quick backup after winning the Eye Liner last week, where she held them off the whole way under a light weight. Don’t know how strong the form stacks up for this, but Orman aboard is a big tick, will have no issues from the gate and may shock.

10. jockey silksExcelida (13)

Won the Goodwood last start where she was wide the trip and gritted it out to the line. Not convinced by the form coming out of that race, and field is another level up, however could run a race at odds.

11. jockey silksComrade Rossa (5)

Has come out of nowhere, going round in BM72’s only 3 starts back. Is now looking for a hat-trick and fifth win from six starts. Brave effort in the Dane Ripper, holding out Opal Ridge who goes round favourite here. Has had lots go her way but she knows how to win. No knock.

 

13. jockey silksShe’s All Class (12)

Has found mixed form throughout this campaign, but thought her most recent run in the Dane Ripper was satisfactory. Never really looked threatening but stuck on well. Could run another nice race.

15. jockey silksRuthless Dame (19)

Sangster winner who proved her worth in the Straddy, working home well along the inside. Gets it easier here back with the girls and I think she can make an impact again. Will need a good steer.

16. jockey silksOpal Ridge (6)

Star filly and race favourite. Was dominant in the Luskin Star where she ‘broke the clock’ before just missing in the Dane Ripper where she was gallant after sitting wide with no cover. Rates highly and is a Group 1 winner in the waiting. She may just be too good for them.

 

17. jockey silksRevolutionary Miss (22)

Another one with plenty of ability on her day. Worked home well in the Dane Ripper, only finishing a few lengths off Opal Ridge and Comrade Rossa. You’ll see the best of her over further but can make a case for her here. Ugly draw doesn’t help.

WISHTIPS

Betting Strategy

If she gets it all her way, Opal Ridge looks the one to beat. But I think Electric Girl can make an impact back on a firm track

2 unit Opal Ridge at $4+

1 unit Electric Girl at $19