Super Bowl LVII
It isn’t the shock Super Bowl matchup we got last year, but rather the two powerhouses of the AFC and NFC meeting each other in a game where nobody can say they don’t deserve to be there. The Eagles and Chiefs have been the benchmark all year and clash in what should be a
very good matchup.
For the Chiefs, it has been a bit of a tricky road through the playoffs however. In the Divisional Round, they were pushed right to the end by the Jags, and had to rely on last second heroics by Mahomes once again to get into field goal range against Bengals, aided by a reckless penalty to get them a little closer.
The major issue for the Chiefs leading into this game is their injury list. Already down three wide receivers, Pat Mahomes has been dealing with an ankle injury that’s clearly hampered his ability to move. He was able to get away with it against the Bengals, and obviously has had more time to rest for the Super Bowl, but the Chiefs go as far as Mahomes can carry them, and if he isn’t 100%, it’s cause for concern leading into this.
The Eagles experienced a much easier route to the Super Bowl. They completely dismantled the Giants in the Divisional Round, and despite some bad luck for the 49ers with both their QB’s going down, they still put up a bunch of rushing yards on an elite 49ers defence and never looked in trouble. They’ve now scored 69 points combined leading into the Super Bowl, and their offence is absolutely firing on all cylinders.
They do have an injury concern of their own however, with Jalen Hurts dealing with a shoulder injury. People will argue he hasn’t needed to do much, so his form isn’t anything to worry about leading into this, but only throwing for 121 yards against the 49ers isn’t great for him, and he’ll need to be on point with his passing for them to beat the Chiefs.
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) February 7, 2023
The Chiefs lead the league in yards per pass attempt. The Eagles lead the league in fewest yards allowed per pass attempt. However, do the Chiefs still have that same potential to go for big yardage plays with Mahomes injured and so many outs for their key receivers? It seems like a big ask. The 49ers had the best form lines heading into the playoffs and the Eagles absolutely crushed them. Realistically right now, The Chiefs don’t look as strong as the 49ers did outside the clear QB discrepancy, and if the Eagles could score at will against San Francisco, how do Kansas City stop them, while also scoring plenty of points themselves against this Eagles defence.
TIP: Eagles (-1.5)
It’s a rare sight to see the Chiefs and Mahomes as underdogs which has to be considered, but the Eagles look to have way too many answers for the questions that Kansas City will ask of them. A scoreline of two years ago when Tampa beat the Chiefs isn’t out of the question here, but the line of only 1.5 seems way too low for the advantages that the Eagles are going to have. Take the Eagles -1.5.
For the MVP, QB’s have won 9 of the last 13 so naturally, Mahomes and Hurts dominate the betting. If you’d like to try and speculate outside those two, Kelce is clearly the guy Mahomes wants to get the ball to on offence and could provide some value at $14. For the Eagles, they’ll run the ball plenty and rotate heavily doing that but when they throw, AJ Brown will get plenty of targets against a pretty average looking Chiefs defence and looks some value at $15.