Cranbourne Cup 2023

Distance: 1600m | Conditions: Handicap | Rail Position: 3m | Track Condition: Good 4 (at time of publish)

The Spring Carnival moves to Cranbourne this weekend for the running of the $500,000 Cranbourne Cup. It’s a small field but not short on quality, and the predicted rain is sure to make proceedings even more interesting. Let’s try find a winner!

WISHTIPS

SPEED MAP

Ascension and Just Folk look the likely leading pair, with Foxy Cleopatra finding the fence in behind and Here To Shock box seating. Umgawa and Pounding should take a seat midfield while Eurphoric will try to see most of them home from the tail.

 

WISHTIPS

KEY RUNNERS

1.jockey silks Pounding (8)

Has to carry the big weight but has the class edge on this group. Been going round in much stronger races than this, and while has the wide barrier to contend with, can make his impact felt over his pet distance. Overs.

2.jockey silks Just Folk (9)

Wasn’t far off them in the Crystal Mile last start behind the likes of Antino and Tuvalu. Wasn’t the form race we thought it would be, however should still read relatively well for this. Boasts a good third-up record but not convinced about him over the mile. Any rain brings him right into calculations.

3.jockey silks Here To Shock (5)

Finished a length to Antino a few back which holds up well here. Was then strong in the Damien Oliver last start, but was there for him to win. Is a winner over the mile but I think you see the best of him back at 1400m. There’s better.

4.jockey silks Ascension (11)

Is racing well, highlighted by his win in the Gold Nugget and solid effort to finish third in the Seymour Cup with the big weight. This is much stronger but recent performances suggest he’s up to it. especially if the rain comes.

5. jockey silksCharterhouse (10)

Has been going round in races a bit out of his depth of late, including the Toorak last start where he failed to deliver. Happy to forgive on that considering the sharp class drop here, but needs a strong tempo. Can go well if he gets a bit of luck fall his way.

6. jockey silks Umgawa (6)

Racing super consistently at the moment and deserves to get a win on the board. Carries form around the likes of Buffalo River which holds him in good stead here, weighted beautifully and is a winner over 1600m. Can go close again.

7. jockey silks Lord Vladivostok (2)

South Australian testing his worth in Melbourne for the Spring and has done okay. Had every chance on Cup Day behind Forgot You but may have struggled on the quick backup. Is hard-fit and can improve but I think he’s probably a touch outclassed here.

8. jockey silks Riyazan (1)

Improved effort in the Sale Cup last start but would require a huge performance to win this, especially considering his wet form.

9. jockey silks Foxy Cleopatra (3)

Getting big wraps from the stable following her run on Cup Day behind Skew Wiff, who has come out and run a race in the Rupert Clarke. Was afforded everything that day, and should be given it all her way again. Hard to knock.

10. jockey silks Euphoric (7)

Been popular in early betting off the back of some solid form this preparation. Will appreciate the weight relief and looks to have plenty of upside but this is a significant class rise. Boasts an impressive strike rate and is ready to take the next step. Should be in the money.

11.jockey silks Beehunter (4)

Did nothing first-up to suggest he’s going well enough to make an impact here. May improve at the mile but wet form is a concern. Rank outsider.

WISHTIPS

BETTING STRATEGY

Plenty of promise to take from that first-up win. Happy to take her at around the $4 mark.

9.jockey silks Foxy Cleopatra

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