The Blue Diamond 2024

Distance: 1200m | Conditions: Set Weights w/ Penalties | Rail Position: 5m | Track Condition: Good 4

The Blue Diamond Stakes, the feature race for the two-year-old’s,  highlights a huge Saturday at Caulfield. It’s a wide open field with plenty of value around, suggesting it’s anyone’s race. 

WISHTIPS

SPEEDMAP

Lady Of Camelot looks the likely leader from the inside draw but won’t be without company as you’d expect Spywire and Rue De Royale to press across from their wide draws. Stay Focused and Kuroyanagi should settle in the first few pairs with Coleman not far off their heels either, likely in company with High Octane. Bodyguard should land midfield with cover, leaving the likes of Matisse, Hayasugi and Fearless looking to strike late.

WISHTIPS

KEY RUNNERS

1: jockey silks Rue De Royale (17)

Yet to run a bad race and boasts a strong record early in his career, including a second in the Golden Gift over 1100m. Was good in the Inglis Millenium and the extra distance won’t be an issue but the gate has crucified his chances.

2: jockey silks Spywire (18)

Has showed plenty of promise early and is one of the more speculated juveniles of his class. Managed to land third in the Magic Millions ($8.50SP) and was good in his only other fresh run but this is a much bigger task, and to make things harder he’s drawn the carpark. Can’t have.

3: jockey silks Bodyguard (6)

Lots to like about this guy. Is unbeaten in his two runs so far, winning the Maribyrnong Trial on debut in the Spring, then claimed the Prelude last start quite comfortably. Plenty of upside, drawn well and in an astute stable. The one to beat for mine. 

4: jockey silks Coleman (7)

The only other undefeated runner in the field and is one of the main dangers. Has been dominant in both starts, the Debutant back in October and then returned for the Chairman’s a few weeks back. No knock on this bloke, he’s classy and will be right there in the finish.

5: jockey silks Stay Focused (15)

Led Bodyguard in the Prelude and knuckled it out with him for a long way. There’s lot to like about him but the gate will make it hard.

6: jockey silks Dublin Down (3)

First up here following a three race campaign over the Spring. Well beaten by Bodyguard on debut and while his jumpout was encouraging, don’t think he’ll match it with these first up. 

7: jockey silks Traffic Warden (14)

Can never discount these colours. Ran into Storm Boy on debut before breaking his maiden at Caulfield over 1000m. Resumed in the Canonbury a few weeks back and was good through the line. Not fully screwed down and could sneak a place at odds. 

8: jockey silks High Octane (10)

Another nice colt from the Snowden stable. He won the Preview to land his ticket into this, however was a well-beaten favourite last start. The run wasn’t as bad as it looked on paper, running into the leaders backside and Shinn had no real desperation to find clear air to be honest. With the right ride, he’ll be right in the finish here.

9: jockey silks Zestiman (8)

Debuted down the Flemington straight to break his maiden, before being found out in the Inglis Millenium. Again, wasn’t given too many favours in the run and did well to finish where he did. Overs?

10: jockey silks Fearless (16)

Third of the Snowden gallopers and another one that will win races. He had plenty of work turning the corner in the Canonbury and was knocked around a bit when trying to gather momentum but he’s got a sharp turn of foot. Plenty of upside, barrier is a bit sticky though and maybe this is a touch of out his depth at this stage.

11:jockey silksHayasugi (11)

Nice filly who has returned this prep in terrific order, claiming wins in both her starts back. Both like-for-like wins being wide on the turn for home and showing a nice turn of foot to fall in on the line. I still think she can run out a strong 1200m, but is against the boys now and will need to be at her best. Can win.

12: jockey silks Eneeza (5)

Price suggested she’s take it to Coleman in the Chairman’s but ultimately was no match. Plenty of talent but hard to see her turning the tables on him here.

13: jockey silks Lady Of Camelot (4)

Waterhouse and Bott flyer who is the likely leader. Showed her class last start, bolting in in the Widden. Will roll out in front from 4 and prove hard to chase down. No knock.

14: jockey silks Kuroyanagi (2)

Gave a good sight in the Prelude but she faded late, suggesting the 1200m may be a concern.

15: jockey silks Matisse (1)

Carries form around Hayasugi finishing half a length off her in the both the fillies Prelude and Preview. Had a more economical run in the Prelude but was eye-catching last time out. May have some issues from the inside draw but with some luck you certainly can’t discount her.

16: jockey silks Flyer (13)

Nice win at Sandown on debut but this is a huge step up.

WISHTIPS

BETTING STRATEGY

The Snowden’s have another strong team looking to tackle this two-year-old feature, and amongst them I think Bodyguard looks every bit a Group 1 winner. 

jockey silks Bodyguard (6)

2 units on Bodyguard to win